Nope. 50% is 50%. It doesn't matter how big the market is, and that's Norvig's point. Once you penetrate 50% of the market, you're done.
As stated, it's either ambiguous or false. If it actually means penetration will never again double from the peak percentage it reached which was >=50%, it's trivial and uninteresting... if it doesn't imply that, then yeah, it's just incorrect.