Not exactly.
1) If there is voting collusion, the point counter will increase, but the points won't "count" to getting to the front page. (upvotes to posts which come from a non-HN referrer are automatically discounted)
2) Flagging is much, much more powerful than the effect of upvoting. If a terrible/advertorial article makes it to the HN front page despite collusion, it will die quickly as the increase exposured draws flags.