No, because the chance that Bitcoin one year from now will be double what it is know is (probably less than) 50%.

Not to mention that your argument is semantically false because 1 million years from now I can guarantee you that Bitcoin won't be around.

That wasn't my claim, as others have already stated. It's really way off base from what I actually did say. FWIW, I do think though, there is a better than 50% chance that in one year from now BTC will be worth less than todays price.

People used to think that real estate prices can only go up too you know.