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> My guess is that, due to Apple and Google's expertise in touch screen and motion capture software, you won't see any new players coming out of the woodwork with a new phone everybody wants.

What does that have to do with anything? Samsung is the largest smartphone maker and you didn't even mention them. Xiaomi is likely to be a huge force in the next couple years. I'm sure there will be more.

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Samsung primarily make phones which run Google software, and unless Samsung want to do an Amazon and ditch the Google Play Services infrastructure for all intents and purposes they are Google phones.

Samsung sells lots of phones: how many of those phones are running Tizen (né Bada)?

I think the point the OP was trying to make is that it's highly unlikely we'll see a company collapse to the extent that RIM/BlackBerry did unless there's a major paradigm shift in mobile technology. Are Xiaomi going to be driving that? I'm not sure.

Exactly. I don't see current companies (including Samsung and Xiaomi) making enough of an impact to dethrone Apple or Google from their places unless one of these smaller companies can literally rival the touchscreen shift in market disruption.

> for all intents and purposes they are Google phones

... Except in profits.

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