If you're going to have this money there are many better ways you could invest it than taking a 0% return from buying a home (and hopefully also overtake the cost of rent).
That said, I recognize that different cities have different conditions, and what makes sense in one city might not make sense in another.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/business/buy-rent-calcula...
However! I'm also from Ireland where a _lot_ of my friends bought houses in the celtic tiger era and are now, on average, about 100K euro down on their "investments"
My gut feeling is that Christchurch too is a bubble. Sure it's a bubble fuelled by a nasty earthquake reducing the supply... BUT supply will come back up again (and it'll be new housing with things like insulation!)
Tricky things really. Currently my rent is cheaper than a mortgage for an equivalent - but only just. That said, I don' t have to pay rates, fees, hiked insurance etc.
The other option of course is to leave for a while - easy enough to do as a decent developer.
While you can theoretically sell your house later. Money put in into maintenance, taxes, association fees, may not ever pay off.
I suspect the biggest problem is simply that houses are very expensive compared to most of the USA. I'm flatting in a really crummy house (as in, cracks in the wall) on a quarter-acre section, yet the property is valued at $500,000.
Hi thesis also probably ignores the the fact that a mortgage is one of the few ways a normal person can use leverage and I most countrys property is a tax efficient way of handing capital to your descendants.
Therefore, renting is cheaper than a mortgage for most properties in my area.
Certainly in the UK a mortgage is way cheaper than the equivalent rent when I looked at it recently.
I'd love to see some numbers on this.
1) For a given residential property in a high-demand market, you can reliably extract annual rent equal to 4-5% of the value of the property in a high-demand market.
2) If you just live in the property, your expenditures are reduced by a slightly higher amount because you avoid the inefficiencies of the rental market. Also, income is taxed, but reduced expenditures are not.
3) Homeowner's insurance is usually a much better deal than renter's insurance. This of course varies based on where you live, but on average (in the U.S. anyway) you'll get better rates for equal coverage if you own your home.
It has nothing to do with some insane notion that property values always go up.
You still got value in the form of shelter for your expenditure in the form of a mortgage just as you would have if you had paid rent.
But if you have to borrow money for that 0% rent, it's not that simple.