Well, that interpretation of the article ignores how Deidu was constantly saying it is unlikely these conditions would come to be (he says "unlikely" that Android licensing will beat Windows Phone's licensing, Android dominating is "wishful thinking"). Seems like your view is Deidu couldn't be wrong. If Android didn't become very successful, Deidu predicted it. If Android did, Deidu predicted it merely by saying there was a small possibility of it happening.