One huge point I keep trying to bring up to friends when I talk about security is: yes if you are the specific target of the state or any asymmetrically powerful adversary you are in a lot of trouble.
But with large scale surveillance the bigger concern is not becoming a target in the first place. Properly securing sensitive communications is a good first step in ensuring that you aren't picked up in sweep through the data.
Sure encryption in the first place may flag you, but at least in the current situation it isn't going to be enough to invoke any rubber hose techniques.