don't you make millions on Polymarket by setting a date? I personally don't doubt Trump might decide at some point that he wants to nuke someone, and then gets talked down, and then decides he wants to, and gets talked down, and then decides he wants to and then doesn't get talked down but might be kept from doing it if people are willing to stop him, but what date should I bet on this?
hmm, I just checked polymarket, evidently it's blocked in my area. I could go to the trouble of getting around the block, but I don't really care to make millions on Trump nuking Iran or any of the other stupid things I think Trump might do because probably millions aren't going to be worth that much at that point anyway.
But if you genuinely believe in the goodness of Donald Trump or the ability of the people around him to stand up to him, well you can probably also make some sort of money on Polymarket betting against the negative views that seem to somehow have arisen about him. Good luck.