I haven’t used open weight models yet, but this would match my intuition given I haven’t experienced a noticeable increase in code quality this calendar year. If open weight models are already on par with January frontier models that’s already enough for me to automate most of the manual parts of my work (I.e. not “architecting”).

And once frontier models can architect (turn business requirements into engineered systems) then I guess no one needs a job because that’s the digital singularity.