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It would be more believable if the AI companies success wasn't entirely dependent on regulatory capture

> Are we still pretending models aren't cyber capable

They can add 2 + 2 correctly in 10% of cases. So, no, they are not.

The fearmongering is based in the notion that the LessWrong fanfic is coming true as we speak, not LLMs being used as tools for hacking.

Unfortunately focusing on the fanfic prevents everyone from focusing on the genuinely world-altering threat of cybersecurity becoming completely impossible for a while. But perhaps that’s the point, because you can be held liable for that, but not for the end of the world as there wouldn’t be any courts afterward.