While time-series forecasting models aren't well suited for this, I would argue that humans aren't either.
Obviously the best humans are better than average, but this isn't all that surprising to me?
Obviously the best humans are better than average, but this isn't all that surprising to me?
We could live in a world where things are much more chaotic, and the best humans (or AIs) would only be slightly better than chance. Evidently the world we live in is pretty darn predictable.