You have it all wrong.
Apple Reference Image is not an id system; it's primarily a way to attest that the pixels recorded by the camera sensor have not been altered in any way; the pixels, metadata and timestamp are all cryptographically signed.
There's no way to link a reference image to a person; it's also not possible to determine if a pair of images came from the same device.
> And while "a nation state actor can spoof this" is a problem for the journalism use case
This is incorrect:
When the image sensor is first initialized in the factory, it creates a
cryptographic signing identity, sharing only the public key with the
factory. The SEP similarly creates a separately-attested signing
identity. These identities are bound together into the device manifest,
allowing us to later check whether a particular sensor and SEP are from
the same device.
The final signature on a reference image is a composite post-quantum
signature combining RSA-3072 and ML-DSA-87. To our knowledge, Apple
Reference Image is the only image provenance system that provides
quantum-secure defenses.
So… a nation-state can't really do anything here unless they acquire alien technology. If something crazy happens (solar flare or EMP?), a fraudulent reference image can be revoked.> Also, the journalism use case suffers from the same fundamental issue all of these use cases suffer from: People will "verify" the picture by looking at the repost of a screenshot of the verification UI, not by verifying the original themselves.
I would imagine there will be a way to confirm an Apple Reference Image on the web. Pretty soon, 3rd parties will be able to verify the image themselves:
Reference images can be viewed in the Photos app alongside the main
image, like a digital negative, to visually compare the two assets and
determine if any edits were made. APIs are available in iOS, iPadOS, and
macOS 27 for third-party apps to enable viewing of these reference images.