Pretty sure at the moment their solution is to shout about this far and wide so when it actually happens they don't get lynched by the crowd.
This has never worked before. Why not? Because the government, who are responsible this time and previous times, are going to blame them because they "set the price" (except of course they set the last 1% or so of the price, which makes them a very nice profit, the 99% is the government, for example, there isn't a single EU country that doesn't levy a 80% tax on fuel, so the government could just halve the price. Could ... but won't.
This is disregarding that obviously one way to look both wars, in Ukraine, the problem is EU governments failing to come to a workable relationship with Russia, and Iran and Trump, well does it even need to be said? Despite the news, I will say that the Ukraine war in Europe is by far the bigger factor. Obviously both wars fundamentally are failures of politicians to do what they're supposedly good at, come to acceptable solutions for everyone. And this accounts for ~60% of the price of oil before any other tax ...
These taxes are part of the reason Russia and Iran are making war and every other oil nation complains constantly. They find this unfair, given that it's their oil that's being sold. They're still bound by market forces, meaning the price is determined by supply and demand like any other product, BUT supply is artificially and drastically made more expensive than it really is, and that money doesn't benefit who it benefits for every other product (ie. not the producer, not even the producer country's government). Per liter the costs are about:
€0.02 Saudi lifting
€0.04 Saudi upstream investment
€0.52 crude resource/market value
€0.05–0.07 physical refining
€0.02–0.04 refinery capital/maintenance/compliance
~€0.25 exceptional current refining/product scarcity spread
~€0.05 ethanol/blending/product logistics/etc.
€0.23 Belgian distribution
€0.014 strategic stocks
€0.60 excise
€0.382 VAT
Who profits?
Saudi government (much better than almost all other producers): 0.46 euro per liter (of that, you can never be absolutely sure, but arguably about 0.3 euro per liter is due to EU and US politicians not managing to prevent wars with oil producers)
Oil companies REVENUE (of which 6% or so is profit): 0.25 (this 0.25 is ENTIRELY due to the wars as well, not because supply is limited but because oil companies are forced to start from inferior products) + 0.23 + 0.05 = 0.52
The total amount of the 2 above is constant, because global market, but the split between oil companies and governments varies, and is generally much worse to oil producer governments.
Standard EU government cut, taking Belgium example (because Brussels = Belgium): 0.60 + 0.382 + 0.014
The "real" oil price RIGHT NOW (with the war price hikes) is about 0.5 euros per liter. That includes the massive oil company profits. 0.46 (or less) goes to governments of oil producing nations, 0.99 goes to the government where the oil is sold as fuel. And this is being nice, counting the 0.05 ethanol as oil company revenue when this is only done because of government demands.
A great gesture would be to, say, limit the excise tax to 0.4 (which is still more than the government got 1st Jan 2023, before the governments' failures)
On the plus side, this is probably the "last hurrah" for the oil market. If/when these wars end, oil price will halve (gas prices will only come down to like 1.6, 1.7 per liter though, because excise tax never goes down). Despite that, this will still kill the energy tax for governments ... which they'll need to make up.
Hence an obvious but counterintuitive prediction: when the Ukraine war ends, EU and US governments will start taxing solar power.