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> It also seems like frontier models reached some limit, whether this is capex related, business model related or something else. Nobody knows but it's happening to all frontier labs it seems.

What’s your evidence of this? On the contrary, the large closed frontier models capability has advanced dramatically over the past 6 months… even the past 3 months…

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So have the open weight ones but faster?

I don't have a horse in this argument but catching up doesn't imply the one in the lead has stagnated

I've used Astra, Fable 5.1, Sol 5.6, Opus 5. They're definitely making progress and the proof is in the pudding - I reach for the most advanced model as much as I can. But I wouldn't say their capabilities have increased dramatically. I use it for both coding and non-coding workloads and I don't feel I can do anything dramatically different. Again at the end of the day this is a debate on semantics because we can have very different definitions of "dramatic improvement".

(I'm not factoring the benchmarks into the discussion, because I've never quite cared about them)

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