i'm not sure what makes you think AI cannot do this already. in my experience, this sort of deep research is something AI is quite good at.
example i just tested: https://chatgpt.com/share/6a9a20e3-1d20-83ea-a125-31aa240c74...
For example I asked it to do a full analysis on the AI bubble, and a full analysis on the risks of Glyphosate, and it came up with a lot of things that sounded credible, but within a few minutes of questing was admitting it hadn't even really checked for internal consistency in its positions, and even doing a 180. It certainly was much faster at gathering sources and reading but it fundamentally doesn't seem very effective at creating a consistent worldview.
And of course the funny thing is it says it did a 180 on one of these topics, great, except whatever it concluded will be discarded because it cannot learn. It's just bonkers to me pretend this is AGI, it probably couldn't even hold its own in this very discussion.
The % responses adding up to over 100 makes sense, because the 25% outcome (formal secession attempt) and the 10% outcome (completed secession) could both occur, so it's implying that if secession is formally attempted, there's a 40% chance it will be completed. The numbers are broken down more clearly at the end - it is a bit confusing at first glance though.