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And if it doubles after that, I may even beat a passive S&P 500 investment.

You know many stocks have done better than the SP500, right?

invest only in the ones that are going to go up - why didn't i think of that?!

I am in fact aware that some of my stock investments have beaten the market while others have underperformed the market.

MRNA, as it happens, is the latter.

That says more about you than Moderna:

MRNA has vastly outperformed the market since IPO.