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Comment by Aditya_Garg | Hacker News Reader

Are you willing to short anthropic and openai on your beliefs? Would love to be on the other side of this trade.

People think that shorting is an easy way of getting rich when you think a stock will go down, but even if you know it will, getting the timing wrong on it is catastrophic as you'll get unbounded loses while the market fails to correct the issues you are betting against

"I may have been early, but I am not wrong!"

"It's the same thing, Michael! It's the same thing!"

As the saying goes...the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

People who talk shit about stocks are talking shit about stocks at a particular time.

"Oh no, when you apply scrutiny to my bullshit I get punished! That means the game is wrong!"

OP is blatantly overconfident on his "prediction", so I called him out. Looks like I struck a nerve with some people.

No, you just don't understand what shorting is.

Feel free to explain it to me

I'm still not sure how shorting is even legal or what useful purpose it serves in the stock market.

Wasn't the whole idea that people can invest arbitrary amounts to companies by buying their stock, making investing more efficient?

How the hell did we get from that to people using it for outright gambling with shorting ??

"Sometime in the next few years" is not anywhere near narrow enough of a window to start putting shorts on stock prices.

OP sounds way too confident about the general direction so Im calling him out to take some action on his "insight"

Buying out of money puts with expiration a few years out on AI adjacent stocks should do the trick

Totally inane post. Why does he need to justify his opinion by gambling on the stock market? Having a belief about the way things are going doesn't mean he knows when the tower of corruption and graft is going to collapse

I believe if you're are not willing to back up your opinion with skin in the game then its low value opinion.

I wouldn't even short Bitcoin, and that's been on the way out since the AI rise.

Shorting bitcoin would be a huge mistake IMO. Willing to be on the opposite of that trade as well!

So you bought at 125k? That would have been a pretty good short

Somewhat hard to short non public company, don't you think?

Willing to enter a private trade with you if you're actually willing to put up the money

And who determines the price if there is no publicly traded market?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swap_%28finance%29

We can come up with a formula what "tanking financially in a few years" actually means

Let me know if you're interested in moving forward

I'm not OP, but; shorting requires careful timing. Because the market can stay irrational longer than I can stay solvent, I don't short.

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