I am hopeful for a deterministic theory of the mind rather than the probabilistic inference in LLMs.
Then execute it as a program.
Then execute it as a program.
Or even better, even formulating the deterministic theory would require 1000000x energy than approximation. And that's how'd we learn that biological minds do the same trick and skip the hard work :-)
The vast amounts of energy spends on generating text tokens while biology only consumes a fraction of it makes me hopeful.
My bet is on the deterministic model. When one appears, the whole Jenga tower of AI comes crashing down if everyone can do it dirt cheap.