Especially for point #1 I don't think we've established that - we've been given information by a private company that makes their tooling look extremely valuable which may be true and genuine or may just be yet another doomday statement to bolster their valuation. "AI is going to end the world" has been an extremely effective vector for AI shops to sell their companies to investors.
Many of the details of the attack on Huggingface were reported by them before they knew who was attacking. So no, OpenAI is not the only source here. It was a pretty impressive example of an APT-style attack just from their end.
"Our model is powerful enough to commit multiple felonies (and we can't stop it)" is "marketing," I suppose.
Well this bad publicity (if that’s how you want to frame it) certainly captured everyone’s attention. Imo it is a successful demonstration of a technical achievement.
Both are big actors in the AI space who arguably benefit from increasing the perceived capabilities of AI models. If one suspects OpenAI of lying it isn't such a stretch to think this was a coordinated PR campaign between them and Hugging face.
But come on- Hugging Face benefits from increasing the perceived capabilities of OpenAI's models to slightly beyond Anthropic's? Enough to be cut in on this PR scam- to be handed the never-before-revealed information that this is a PR scam- despite having much less skin in the game than their partner here? And then they turned around and used a Chinese model to successfully stop it? This is a stretch!
I'm not convinced in any direction, really. But what makes me cautious is that there have been extraordinary claims from both OpenAI and especially Anthropic of their models breaking containment, hacking the host, etc. for several iterations of their products and I have only heard of this type of behavior from their own blog posts about how powerful and dangerous their upcoming models are. Never from anyone having it accidentally happen in production once they are released. It seems unlikely to me that the final post-training and safeguards are that bulletproof given how much use these tools are seeing.