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Comment by bottlepalm | Hacker News Reader

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bottlepalm·

Really feels like end game type stuff - AI designing its own next versions, designing its own chips, etc..

The advancement is slow, but fast - like a plant growing. We really are the boiling frogs now aren’t we?

And the people with eyes wide open are us, and anyone that frequents this site really. Is this Milliways?

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Geoffrey Hinton pointed out that exponential growth can be hard to see in the near term (2-3 years) because that part is a bit within predictions, but, it's the exponential part which means 5+ years out is totally unpredictable.

The bottleneck is physical stuff: chip fab is still a whoooooole beast. Doesn't matter too much if AI can design chips, the lead times are still in the years. Assuming you use existing fabs. If you need new fabs, now it's decades.

And there's not too too much that can be done here. Robotics, sure, but robotics are very behind AI because physical space is just hard. We can't, right now, just spin up like 1000 robots and build a fab.

Lol even few people here are grappling with the exponential unfolding before us. There are so few deeply thought through takes of where we’re going and why there are extremely concerning issues.

GPT 5.6 Pro one shot a perfect score to the new IMO today and nobody cares. We are in the end game.

go watch the music uptown funk music videos they generated. We still got a few years.

HN discussion and link:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48939524

This edition of the Fields Medal (btw, two Chinese mathematicians also received this honor) is basically certain to be the last purely human Fields Medal.

news to me?

Reply on news.ycombinator.com