Plenty of physical (and biological) processes are subjectively non-deterministic outside clean rooms. Doesn’t mean our ancestors couldn’t forge and selectively breed.
I think I agree, but could you expand?
My point is humans have made progress on understanding systems without clean determinism. Genetics and cosmology is technically deterministic, practically speaking, but I don’t think that’s accessible to pre-modern societies. Instead, trends and tendencies were observed, acted and capitalized on.
On the other hand, an LLM "knows" what a benchmark is, and is capable of detecting benchmark-like scenarios. A prompt that appears reliable in testing may fail unexpected in the real world. In this way, an LLM is like a stock market (also composed of intelligent agents): the act of experimenting on it changes its properties. Such systems are never reliably predictable.
I do not understand the need to argue that monkeys are better than screwdrivers at screwing. Just let the monkey be the best version of a monkey.
I would argue that management is a better discipline to pull from for employing LLMs; It is better equipped to deal with non-determinism and going completely off the rails.
So now instead of improving the tools of biology so we can actually understand it deeply - we increase complexity of IT so we have to rely on muddy, side-effecty tools of biology to try to infer some of the properties of the systems we made. That's depressing.
To be fair, this isn’t a bad description of human vision.
Computing has never really been deterministic all the way down. Storage gets corrupted, RAM has soft errors, networks drop/reorder packets, schedulers race, caches go stale, distributed systems partition, query planners change plans, ...
Obviously those become tolerable because we've developed layers of contracts and understanding the bounds around them. Error correcting codes, checksums, retries, consensus, idempotency, false-positive rates, SLAs, etc.
If the abstraction is “delegate this task to a junior engineer, analyst, lawyer, designer, or support rep,” you dont expect deterministic behavior. There's review, constraints, escalation, checklists, tests, and accountability.
Determinism is way undervalued.