While that might be true, it is unlikely that open source models' capability will ever surpass frontier models --- if you have the best model (by some margin), then people will want to access it, even if it means going through compliance.
Sure about that? Would you invest in products almost no-one can buy?
otoh, maybe China stop releasing their best models
Training models are expensive. No one can do it for free for very long.
Just because you're not paying per token or per month does not mean they are doing it for free.