It’s a 24 year old company with a current high flying stock price based on very questionable numbers.
It’s a 24 year old company with a current high flying stock price based on very questionable numbers.
“In 2025, SpaceX generated $18.7 billion in revenue, with its Starlink satellite internet service accounting for $11.39 billion, or 61% of total sales.”
Tesla had higher revenue number in at the start of 2019, when it had a market cap of ~0.06 trillion. Further Tesla was highly volatile in 2021 despite huge earnings growth with some people bank when it fell from 1.2T to 0.34T before recovering.
Toyota’s P/E is under ten. They’ll make more money selling cars this quarter than TSLA will in ten years.
TSLA prices have never been within an order of magnitude of reasonable. They’ve been publicly traded for so long that some of the people legally driving them weren’t born when they IPOed. They’re not a startup and haven’t been in a while.
My point is as a benchmark it still makes SpaceX look like a bad investment.
The reason for these rules is lockup periods. There’s presumably many people really want to sell significant SpaceX stock at the current price who can’t yet. Effectively August 2026 is going to add more stock to the market and that’s going to continue for a while.
Such post IPO volatility is the justification for indexes to wait, and honestly it’s a very good argument IMO.
Remember mars by 2024? I think that was around the time they started accepting deposits on tesla semi.