Why not, for example, Geoffrey Hinton, the scientist who won the nobel prize for LLM architecture? Or a sci-fi author?
Why not, for example, Geoffrey Hinton, the scientist who won the nobel prize for LLM architecture? Or a sci-fi author?
'Hinton said there was a “10% to 20%” chance that AI would lead to human extinction within the next three decades.'
“Because the situation we’re in now is that most of the experts in the field think that sometime, within probably the next 20 years, we’re going to develop AIs that are smarter than people. And that’s a very scary thought.”
“My worry is that the invisible hand is not going to keep us safe. So just leaving it to the profit motive of large companies is not going to be sufficient to make sure they develop it safely,” he said. “The only thing that can force those big companies to do more research on safety is government regulation.”
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2024/dec/27/godfather...
Apparently 80% of FDA-approved AI "medical devices" (which covers software, not just hardware) are for radiology.
(https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/software-medical-device-...)
If we had followed his advice we would be experiencing a major crisis in medicine today.
To his credit, he actually made a falsifiable prediction, unlike most folks that rely on infinite timelines so they never have to be accountable for their prognostications.
> “I think we’re going to see AI get even better,” Hinton replied. “It’s already extremely good. We’re going to see it having the capabilities to replace many, many jobs. It’s already able to replace jobs in call centers, but it’s going to be able to replace many other jobs.”
https://fortune.com/2025/12/28/geoffrey-hinton-godfather-of-...