Hacker News Reader

US just gonna trust Iran regarding their nuclear program?

No trust or guessing need in that case, Iran will only pause their nuclear program, maybe not even that.

Iran gained international credibility by adhering strictly to the JCPOA, even long after the Trump admin broke it. I doubt they will squander that by not adhering to whatever deal they negotiate next.

Following the rules got them bombed, so why would they make that mistake again?

It's a good question, but Iran has a new weapon now: The Strait of Hormuz. Maybe that's enough leverage that they retain that they will stop their nuclear program for a while.

The Straight of Hormuz isn't new, though. IIUC Iran did exactly what war gamers would have expected them to do.

It seems to me that demonstrated leverage actually is different from theoretical leverage. I do think that is a crucial difference.

Its not about nukes. Its about controlling the oil supply to squeeze China. China controls rare earths so they can put the squeeze on the USA. To counter that USA wants to control the world's oil supply.

Nordstream (Russia), Venezuela, Iran.

People voted this down without any response. Oh wow, what has happened to hacker news?

Reply on news.ycombinator.com