Claims of AGI imply that LLM's have intelligence. They don't, they are fancy probability machines. They don't THINK the way we do, they just do 200 matrix multiplications until their training data is massaged into what you need. They don't dream, they don't remember what you tell them. Even if you write one sentence, 'attention' means they will ignore half of what you say and key in on the wrong thing. This just happened to me today on a frontier model.
I'm not saying that AGI is impossible, but the focus on LLM's is probably not the right approach. I don't think we will ever make it until we understand the human mind better.