One of the bottlenecks right now is testing.
The LLMs suck at testing still, so the feedback cycle still requires human input
The LLMs suck at testing still, so the feedback cycle still requires human input
Same way as LLMs cannot code anything complex, they cannot test complex scenarios.
The only underlying rule that I see is: the more complex a task is, the lower the probability of success. That's it. And it's the same exact rule that applies to humans. The difference though is that we're seeing an exponential growth in AI capabilities, which are then rapidly disseminated on a scale of months, and we don't see such capability increases in humans.
As I see it, anyone whose mental model is built on what AI can or cannot do is going to have a very bumpy decade.
It's like saying nobody should build a car from scratch because they'll never win the F1 championship :D
Although software companies like to disclaim all warranties to the extent the law allows, neither the market nor the FTC will allow you to breach contracts, make outrageous false claims, or offer products that destroy life and property.
AI cannot and will not behave responsibly. I’m not opposed to AI, but I use it as a tool that I supervise. I review and test what it produces. People and companies that fail to do that will ruin their reputations, I predict.
With that said, I'm very concerned that the coming decade will be a bumpy ride for all of us.
> but I have a lot of machinery in front of them to enable it