Going to Trusted Publishing / pipeline publishing removes the second factor that typically gates npm publish when working locally.
The story here, while it is evolving, seems to be that the attacker compromised the CI/CD pipeline, and because there is no second factor on the npm publish, they were able to steal the OIDC token and complete a publish.
Interesting, but unrelated I suppose, is that the publish job failed. So the payload that was in the malicious commit must have had a script that was able to publish itself w/ the OIDC token from the workflow.
What I want is CI publishing to still have a second factor outside of Github, while still relying on the long lived token-less Trusted Publisher model. AKA, what I want is staged publishing, so someone must go and use 2fa to promote an artifact to published on the npm side.
Otherwise, if a publish can happen only within the Github trust model, anyone who pwns either a repo admin token or gets malicious code into your pipeline can trivially complete a publish. With a true second factor outside the Github context, they can still do a lot of damage to your repo or plant malicious code, but at least they would not be able to publish without getting your second factor for the registry.