> The AI is coming for that too.
That may be true I’m not gonna say one way or the other, but if AI comes for that then almost all knowledge work is effectively dead, so all that’s left would be sales or physical labor.
That may be true I’m not gonna say one way or the other, but if AI comes for that then almost all knowledge work is effectively dead, so all that’s left would be sales or physical labor.
I expect that to continue.
Even if this still holds true ("past performance is no guarantee of future results") the part about it that people handwave away without thinking about or addressing is how awful the transitional period can be.
The industrial revolution worked out well for the human labor force in the long term, but there were multiple generations of people who suffered through a horrendous transition (one that was only alleviated by the rise of a strong labor movement that may not be replicable in the age of AI, given how it is likely to shift the leverage of labor vs. capital).
If you want to lean on history as an indication that massive sudden productivity changes will make things better for humanity in the long run, then fine, but then you have to acknowledge that (based on that same history) the transition could still be absolutely chaotic and awful for the lifespan of anyone who is currently alive.
(And in all of those transitions millions where left behind without work or with very worse prospects. The people that took the new jobs were often a different group, not people who knew the old jobs and were already in their 30s and 40s).
And what would be the new professions that uniquely require humans, when even thinking and creative jobs are eaten by AI? Would there be a boom of demand for dancers and chefs, especially as millions lose their service jobs?
Are you going to have the time and money in 2035 to spend 5 years retraining though? Will you be as cheap and fast as the young ones that will learn with you and ask for half your salary?
New professions will likely come no doubt. Whether existing professionals will be able to transition to those easily is another matter.
My parents say a lot of stuff like this. They tend to gloss over the untold suffering, great depressions and world wars that took us to get here.
The planets resources were also not in risk of running out. As the world is min maxed by billionaires, it nice the lower classes are drained of all capital, they will soon move to fighting each other for resources. the future is looking pretty grim for even the most optimistic of scenarios
spot on. you gotta wear shades to survive, future so bright.
Developer community: Wow, we truly have become obsolete now!
My bet is something _like_ assembly, but not assembly.
That being said, I think humans will still program for fun. Just like we paint portraiture in a world with cameras.