hello,

as always: imho (!)

the usa will "bomb bomb bomb bomb iran" for a few weeks - as they wanted since 1979:

more details to the song

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bomb_Iran

1. a few weeks in they will run out of ordnance to drop

2. they will declare victory and leave

3. iran wins by not being beaten

i think 2 things are possible but very unlikely - eg. small single digit per cent probability:

* successful regime change

* a really long war - like in afghanistan or irak (~ 10 or up to 20 years)

just my 0.02€