I'm in Tehran, what do you think will be happen? | Hacker News Reader

I'm in Tehran, what do you think will be happen?

21 pointspajuhaan14 comments

I'm in Tehran. I woke up this morning, did some exercise, and about 3h ago i started hearing the sound of fighter jets; then heavy bombing.

A large-scale military operation has taken place in Iran, and one by one, communication channels are effectively being cut off by the government.

if you’ve seen the videos coming out of Tehran, look at how people are reacting, the way they respond when they see the bombardment. it’s striking!! yeh?

What do you think is going to happen?

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God willing, the Iranian people rise up and overthrow the regime.

Use this opportunity because it may not come again soon.

A weakened regime that stays in power would be a terrible outcome to all this. Get the mullahs out!

The remaining leaders of the regime are threatening to massacre the opposition people after the war is over. On the other hand, continuing attacks on regional countries and closing the strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf will probably be accompanied by bombing & leveling oil infrastructure and MAYBE seizing Iranian islands. the situation is very complicated right now.

hello,

as always: imho (!)

the usa will "bomb bomb bomb bomb iran" for a few weeks - as they wanted since 1979:

more details to the song

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bomb_Iran

1. a few weeks in they will run out of ordnance to drop

2. they will declare victory and leave

3. iran wins by not being beaten

i think 2 things are possible but very unlikely - eg. small single digit per cent probability:

* successful regime change

* a really long war - like in afghanistan or irak (~ 10 or up to 20 years)

just my 0.02€

> successful regime change

Best we usually get is a failed US puppet state. The non-puppet faction is stronger but poorer but ends up winning in the end.

> a really long war - like in afghanistan or irak (~ 10 or up to 20 years)

Iran is twice the land size and about twice the military size. The US hasn't won wars half the size of this one. Not when 9/11 made people want blood. Not when they had a stronger casus belli. Not when they were deep in debt and economically separated from their top trade partner.

But on the other hand, the USA also doesn't declare wars; they're military action by a president. Since American presidents swap out every 4-8 years, nobody really owns the war. A future president decides that nothing of value was accomplished and ends the war to everyone's relief.

You will lose your sovereignty and your economy we will be integrated, making you de facto slaves.

You will lose your sovereignty and your economy we will be integrated

It’s your chance to make history and make generational wealth.

prayers for your safety

Did OP get killed by Israel yet?

We are not allowed to be compassionate with you or speak against Israel, US and UK, otherwise we'll get banned

The UK has nothing to do with that shit.

I am very sorry, but a lot of innocent people will die for no fault of their own, because awful people run the world.

Get water, food, batteries, and keep your phones charged while you can.

There is no safe place.

I like we've become so dependent that the phone is up there with food and water these days.

This is going to be a longer war. Iran is slowly burning up the Israeli missile defense stockpiles when one Iranian drone receives 10 missiles fired in defense. When the stockpiles are gone, then the Iranian counter-attack will begin in earnest

Only the dumbest people think that a spontaneous uprising occurs during a bombing campaign. And the new leaders will be as hardline as the old

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