That runs around $2 trillion.
That runs around $2 trillion.
EU together with UK and Canada hold more Treasurys than the entire rest of the world combined, and if they dumped them all at once it would be significantly painful for the average American as interest rates would spike, as would inflation. The Dollar would decline against most other major currencies.
However dumping that much debt all at once would require the sellers to heavily discount a large portion of their bonds, earning them increasingly fewer, and paying in (depreciating) dollars.
It's exceedingly likely that de-dollarization accelerates from here, but it's also unlikely that even the Norwegian government sells it all at once. Rather than mass selling, expect EU entities to curtail or even cease buying US bonds altogether if the geopolitical situation doesn't improve.
That is just not true? Out of the $38T, ~75% is held be US Domestic entities. Even of the remaining 25%, these 3 don’t combine together to form a majority. It’ll come out to something like $3.5T out of the $9.1T foreign holding (~38%). Or under 10% of the total debt.
https://economicsinsider.com/top-15-largest-us-treasury-hold...
Showing that you don’t want to be the last one out since either the risk or inflation hits you.
Indeed and QE is a major inflationary pressure.
Most Americans - this administration included - don't know how good they have had it, and are throwing it all away due to avarice.
I think all investors are now looking at this with this foresight. Being the first to dump seems to be the winning game here.
When you're talking about hundreds of billions of dollars worth of bonds you simply can't move that much in one go. That's an elephant-in-the-bathtub situation where your moves disturb the market because of their size.
Even the first entity to dump would still have to discount a lot of their bonds. Nobody on the bond market is going to make a $200B snap purchase.
I make it only 1.5 trillion equities - they run about a 70 / 30 split stocks to bonds.
They could easily trim up their $50bn of Nvidia or their $50bn of Microsoft or their $40bn of Apple etc and put it to better use.
I think he means also US stocks. So most of the wealth fund.
Anyway, how would that destroy the fund? They'd be selling it not giving it away.
Current total market value is about $2136B, of which ~$912B is invested in the US[1].
[1]: https://www.nbim.no/en/investments/the-funds-value/ (see map at bottom for regional figures)
However politicians have tried to use less, for 2026 they plan[3] to use 452B NOK which is roughly 2.13%.
However as OP points out, the total budget is around 2100B NOK, so the oil money pays for roughly a quarter. And that's becoming a bit of a problem in my view as well.
[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_budgetary_rule
[2]: https://www.regjeringen.no/no/tema/okonomi-og-budsjett/norsk...
[2]: https://www.regjeringen.no/no/statsbudsjett/2026/statsbudsje...