People are losing jobs to AI. It is in the form of layoffs so that companies can invest in AI, it is in the form of lower hiring of junior engineers because AI is supposed to do those jobs, it is in the form of silent reductions because less people are expected to do more using AI, it is in the form of entire job roles being replaced (customer success), it is in the form of second order market effects of reduced spending from people who lost their jobs, and much more.
My follow up expands on it. You are arguing that LLMs are not capable of entirely replacing a human’s job therefore people are not losing jobs over AI is extremely bad faith. If a machine in a factory automates 50% of a worker’s job, it still replaces half the workers. The factory won’t employ the same number of people and the people absolutely lost their jobs to automation.
I'm sure you could argue endlessly about which factors are more important to more people, but overall employment does appear to be reverting to its longer-term trends after pandemic disruptions, and these kinds of corrections have historically impacted junior positions much more than senior positions.
In any case, “reviewer of LLM translations” doesn’t exist as a full-time job to anywhere near the extent that “translator” used to be.
https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/lost-translation-ais-impact-t...
(But you are correct that they did lay them off.)
for now. being early can be the same thing as being wrong.
AI is not there yet to replace any person's job.
This is of course true, but it has not actually prevented any layoffs. Management generally does not understand this, does not care, or is happy to have a pretext to fire a bunch of workers to make stock go up.
I am regularly in meetings where my director or vp tells people that we should replace vendor staffing with AI and that we will get minimal engineering headcount because AI should make us more productive.
Even if the bosses are wrong, we can still see the impulse and be pissed off about it.
(I mean, this is terrible career advice, but it would point out the problem. Either AI is good enough to replace directors, or it isn't. If it is, then their jobs go too. If it's not, then it's probably not good enough to replace a lot of other peoples' jobs. But the problem is, the directors think that their jobs are so hard that they can't be done by AI, but everyone else's jobs are easy.)