My bet is close to none
My bet is close to none
From a biomedical standpoint, we have highly accurate biomarkers (e.g., ApoB, Lp(a), hs-CRP), long-term risk prediction models, knowledge of nutritional biochemstry, and next generation drugs like PCSK9 inhibitors and lepodisiran that can lower ApoB and Lp(a) by 90%. So there's no fundamental reason why cardiovascular disease has to be in even the top 10 causes of death.
Practically speaking, providing guideline-recommended preventive care would require ~27 hours per doctor per day. And the incentives are misaligned: health systems profit when hospital beds are full, so they lack the business model to actually invest in prevention.
So it's a clear illustration of a systematic gap between research and care delivery.
Because most people don't give a shit about their health, no amount of pills will save you if you eat like the average american.
I’m not in love with the idea of sharing my biomarkers with multiple health-tech companies and really want a self-hosted solution to import biomarkers from multiple sources such as Apple Health, arbitrary csv and jsons while avoiding duplication.
Claude Code is something that will make this dream a reality for me pretty soon.
Do you have any tips on biomarker data design or import gotchas?
Im hoping to use LLMs to help with this process.
Will try to use LOINC dataset to standardize against
the mainline guideline is more exercise and better diet which is the treatment to much more than just heart disease. that's not something 27 hours of doctors a day can provide unless you give them guns
the treatments reduce risk, but they don't change the fact the human body is very reliant on the heart and increasingly vulnerable to cardiac death with age, even with perfect biomarkers
it would take a lot more than that. Ain't no doc got all that time to go through all this with every person who should take cholesterol lowering medicine but wants to argue their internet sourced bs
Even without medications, we’ve had enough knowledge about diet and lifestyle factors that the average person (excluding generic abnormalities that lead to abnormally high risk) could reasonably avoid heart disease through lifestyle and diet alone. That’s easier said than done for a lot of people in the modern world, so it’s good that we have a few different medications on top of that knowledge.
So it comes down to definition of 'resaonably'. diet and excercise will 'reasonably' reduce risk of most disease.
Same with medications? It’s well known that medications don’t eliminate risk.
For the average person without genetic outlier risk, perfect diet and exercise would definitely make heart disease a non-issue in their lifetime.
The risk your cardiologist is talking about is probably the risk that you have one of those genetic outlier conditions that require medication regardless of diet.
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/4187653/10321616/dea...
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