First, http://www.phdcomics.com/comics/archive.php?comicid=1174
Secondly, I can't find the quote/joke but basically, anything that is 5 years out to market is really 10, 10 years out is vaporware, 15 years out is AI. (If anyone has the quote/source to that general theme I'd love to get it)
Claiming viability in over 15 years from now means that things are in such infancy as it's highly likely another piece of technology will far surpass it in between.