If I overestimate it, why do all python devs I talk to still use 2.x and say that they can't use 3.x because all kind of problems?
All in all, with a year left in the migration path, I'd say we are doing OK. The VM is in good shape for production use and the libraries are coming along well.
I think the biggest danger is all the hand-wringing about how everything has gone wrong, who didn't read the fine-print to start.