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> Facebook can't have their top researcher work on risky things when there's surefire paths to success still available.

How did you determine that "surefire paths to success still available"? Most academics agree that LLMs (or LLMs alone) are not going to lead us to AGI. How are you so certain?

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I don't believe we need more academic research to achieve AGI. The sort of applications that are solving the recent AGI challenges are just severely resource constrained AGI. The only difference between those systems and human intelligence are resources and incentives.

Not that I believe AGI is the measure of success, there's probably much more efficient ways to achieve company goals than simulating humans.

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