In the past, factories used to shut down when there was a shortage of coal for steam engines or when the electricity supply failed. In the future, programmers will have factory holidays when their AI-coding language model is down.
> if Anthropic is down, there is still Google, OpenAI, Mistral, Deepseek and so on
No company is going to pay for subscriptions to all of them. Either way, we'll see a new layer of fragility caused by overdependence on AI. Surely, though, we will adapt by learning from every major event related to this.
That really depends on your Macbook :). If you throw enough RAM at it, something like a qwen3-coder will be pretty good. It won't stack up to Claude, or Gemini or GPT, of course, but it's certainly better than nothing and better than useless.
> No company is going to pay for subscriptions to all of them.
They don't have to, every lab offers API based pricing. If Anthropic is down, I can hop straight into Codex and use GPT-5 via API, or Gemini via Vertex, or just hop onto AWS Bedrock and continue to use Claude etc.
I don't think this is an issue in practice, honestly.
Developers used to share code through version control before there were websites to serve the "upstream", and they used to communicate without bespoke messenger apps.
Their former ways of doing so still work just fine.
I meant locally as a company.
>programmers
Don't Look Up
Technology changes, people often don't.
Programmers will be around for a longer time than anyone realises because most people don't understand how the magic box works let alone the arcane magics that run on it.
Except it doesn’t fit. For a while now we’ve had access to basically all the knowledge in the world and most people don’t use it.
Why would people make the effort to build a website using AI when they didn’t do so with any of the existing no-code options available.
They won’t.
Will dev be exactly the same in 10 years time? No.
Will there be more devs than there are now? 100%
Will experienced devs make bank? Yes.
Pretty easy sell.
All signs point to it rapidly progressing towards this inflection.
Current agents are insanely good, every decent programmer using them knows this.
> All signs point to it rapidly progressing towards this inflection. Not really
> Current agents are insanely good, every decent programmer using them knows this. Also not really
If you find them "insanely good" you were likely doing work that was already very repetitive or broadly implemented by others.
They have their uses, but it isn't as pervasive as people believe.
You've set yourself up such that all I need to do is go "I'm developing complex veterinary software including integrations with laboratory equipment" and you're completely falsified. Why expose yourself like this instead of being intellectually humble?
The only reason that anyone has engaged with you here is because you're being intellectually arrogant.
Most of my day job is not about bashing out nextjs websites. In fact if I did that one day a year it would be a lot.