Comment by NinjaWarrior | Hacker News Reader

Comment by NinjaWarrior | Hacker News Reader

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> I think we all believe HTML5 has a great future.

I don't. Absolutely not. I have a confidence HTML5 will fail in the end.

> Hardware gets better at a rapid rate

Moore's Law is about to over. We have no free lunch anymore. The next Intel CPU (Haswell) gets only 10% performance improvement at the same clock.

And don't you hear our consumers complaining the battery life and the heat problem of their mobile devices? Things become worse on the coming wearable computers.

I can't understand why HTML/CSS/JavaScript advocates are so optimistic about this point. And looks like people completely forgot the buzzword of a decade ago, "green computing".

My simple question is, "Are you really a SOFTWARE engineer?" HARDWARE engineers will solve the problem. Hah!

> HTML5 (CSS, Javascript, etc) is still improving.

Yeah, at a deadly slow speed. There are many critical bugs which has been stuck for several years. I'm tired to wait them fixed. Apparently web standards became too complex and about to collapse. Many programmers completely forgot the KISS principle. Very sad.

> I have a confidence HTML5 will fail in the end.

When is the end? What will replace it in the browser? Will people stop using browsers? Why do you have confidence other than things are not perfect now?

>optimistic

Being optimistic makes people want to solve problems. Being pessimistic makes people think defeat is 100% likely so they never try to solve anything.

Our games already work very well in HTML5. They "work" on an iPad 3, but we still make native versions because the technology we use, Monkey, allows us to very painlessly do so.

On desktop, Chrome, Firefox, and IE all run the games perfectly on a now 4 year old computer build.

I'm not betting everything on HTML5 but to me it already is succeeding and I am confident that consumers will drive demand for it, vendors will produce and release devices which support it. Even if Apple, or the other big sellers don't support it there will be those who do and the great support will sell units and make anyone who doesn't support it well look bad.

I believe you will always be able to make html5 apps if you want. But I believe the iOS 'apps' model is going to become the standard for consumer pc's. This will cause native apps to no longer be second class citizens, and HTML based apps will have to compete with native just like they do on iOS. Right now basically all consumer computing happens through the browser, except for ms office, and it takes enormous effort to get a non-technical user to install software.

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