> I think he truly believed that scaling LLMs would lead to AGI.
no one in the industry could have believed that
no one in the industry could have believed that
I am not in the industry but I've been following closely and I am usually skeptical, but while I erred on the side of "this is just a tool" I also wondered "what if?" more than once.
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...
So they're getting exponentially better are doing some easy fraction of programming work. But this would be like self-driving cars getting exponentially better at driving on very safe, easy roads, with absolutely no measurement towards something like chaotic streets, or rural back-roads, or edge cases like a semi swerving or weird reflections.