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Comment by izzydata | Hacker News Reader

There is no plan in place at all for the outcome of most work becoming redundant. At least in the US I highly doubt we will be capable of implementing some system such as UBI for the benefit of all citizens so everyone can take advantage of most work being automated. Everyone will be left to pick up scraps and barely survive.

But I am extremely skeptical that current "AI" will be capable of eliminating so much of the modern workforce any time soon if ever. I can see it becoming a common place tool, maybe it already has, but not as a human replacement.

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> There is no plan in place at all for the outcome of most work becoming redundant. At least in the US I highly doubt we will be capable of implementing some system such as UBI for the benefit of all citizens so everyone can take advantage of most work being automated. Everyone will be left to pick up scraps and barely survive.

If 80% of US citizens lose their jobs, I assure you that there will be a political response. It might not be one you (or I) like, but it will happen and it will be a big deal.

> If 80% of US citizens lose their jobs, I assure you that there will be a political response. It might not be one you (or I) like, but it will happen and it will be a big deal.

In societies where 80% of people are not able to draw an income and there are more firearms than there are people allowed to own them, that political response is revolution.

That is also what I would expect, regardless of firearm laws. Like look at how many people are fans of populists right now. Then 10x that if basically everyone is unemployed.

It's gonna be a wild ride.

That being said, I'm not convinced LLM based workflows will be transformative, at least over the short term (3-5 years). It took a long time for the whole of society to end up on the Internet and I'd expect around the same speed for AI/LLM approaches (even in the best case scenario).

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