Based on my own experience and reading a ton of HN posts, i would summarize it as:
- vibe coding is fun, but not production-ready software engineering
- LLMs like CC today moderately boost your performance. A lot of attention is still needed.
- some TDD style is needed for the AI tool to converge
- based on the growth of the last few months, it is quite likely that these tools will increase IC productivity substantially
- fully autonomous agentic coding will take more time as the error rate needs to decline significantly