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This will be another abstraction layer that MANY people will use and be able to accomplish things that would have been impossible to do in a reasonable amount of time in machine code.
And for a few decades at least it was true. The technology was shite compared to film photography for a long time. The same will probably be true for AI, as full developer replacement will require AGI.
Now very few laundry doers measure out their detergent by hand.
Original posters autotune example was off too - 99% of commercial records use pitch correction. The other 1% are the ones they write stories about "nO AuToTuNe" cuz the reality is its on everything. I mix records. Easy to find autotune errors in live performances on youtube. It's not that they can't sing, the audience has been trained for perfection(they believe).
If the user can't feel any difference in quality between human made software, or AI made software, then it does not mater. It is that easy.
If AI makes better software, at lower prices, human developers will become obsolete. It is the natural way of life.
Once we had telephone operators, now we don't. Once you had to be a good tradesman with good knowledge in how to use a mallet/hammer, axe, chisel, etc. to build a house - now you don't. You don't get awarded for being old-fashioned.
But that doesn't change the fact that the VAST majority of people are just fine with mass-produced furniture
I think this is the difference that's going to happen to software.
There's the one doing everything in bare vim with zero assist, just rawdogging function names and library methods from rote memory.
And then there's the rest who use all the tools at their disposal to solve problems. Is the work super clean, efficient and fully hand-crafted? Nope. Does it solve the problem? Yes it does, and fast.
There may very well be a texture to “hand crafted” software that will be totally lost on users. But I kind of doubt the difference will be anything like the difference in furniture.
There will always be people who know the difference and care about the difference. And are prepared to pay the premium for handcrafted furniture.
But the vast majority of people either won't care or don't know the difference - mostly because they've never experienced it. They just take it for grated that their IKEA cardboard stuff won't make it through a move and buy a new one.
And then there's the one person with the almost century old desk that was handmade from hardwood and is practically indestructible and fully repairable if something cracks.
When you finally give it a go you will feel stupid for having this opinion.
I did.
Current gen of LLMs are tools. Use them or not. Judging others based on whether they use tools at all vs how they use them is… naive.
In any case there are better and stronger arguments against LLMs than this.