The tariffs are being paid by domestic companies, not foreign producers. There is literally no way for a foreign producer to pay a U.S. tariff as the tariff is charged to the importer before the good is released by Customs.
The impacts of the tariffs are domestic. If consumer prices are not increased, then profits, investment, or expenses (including salary, benefits, etc) will be decreased. The money has to come from somewhere inside the U.S.
This is the entire point of a tariff, historically and as expressed by this administration. It is not to source foreign tax revenue, it is to create intentional domestic pain as a means toward implementing a top-down industrial policy. “Make it here or I will hurt you” is the overt message from the President.
I've had suppliers from China lower their prices in the face of the tarrifs so that the total amount I pay after the tarrifs is only slightly higher. Which is going to be even more harmful if/when the tarrifs get removed as they're now undercutting American manufacturers even more than they were before.
And even the first part is largely random. The main message is just "I will hurt you, whoever you are".
And if those hints become reality, might prices rise to re-increase margins?
Do you make the same argument about the corporate income tax being absorbed by companies? Or do you assume that tax makes its way to consumers through price increases? What about increases in the minimum wage?
The question was, do you believe companies will just accept lower margins or if they will eventually increase prices to re-coup those margins?
If you think they will just absorb it, would you apply the same logic to minimum wage or corporate tax increases?
Haven't a ton of the tariffs been delayed? To what extent have they actually been in effect?
The baseline 10% reciprocal tariff rate remains in effect for all, while many of the bigger country-specific tariffs are paused until Aug 1.
China has special tariffs that stack with that 10%: Section 301 (up to 25%) + Fentanyl tariff (20%).
In addition, worldwide tariffs impacting steel & aluminum (50%) as well as autos and auto parts (25%) are in effect.