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Comment by kranke155 | Hacker News Reader

I believe in Demmis when he says we are 10 years away from - from AGI.

He basically made up the field (out of academia) for a large number of years and OpenAI was partially founded to counteract his lab, and the fears that he would be there first (and only).

So I trust him. Sometime around 2035 he expects there will be AGI which he believes is as good or better than humans in virtually every task.

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When someone says 10 years out in tech it means there are several needed breakthroughs that they think could possibly happen if things go just right. Being an expert doesn't make the 10 years more accurate, it makes the 'breakthroughs needed' part more meaningful.

>He basically made up the field (out of academia) for a large number of years

Not even close.

Not even close? So DeepMind wasn’t the clear leader in AI for years and years until OpenAi started showing new and interesting efforts ?

This guy has a vested interest in talking nonsense about AGI to attract investors' money and government subsidies worth billions.

Privately, he doesn't think it's likely in next 25 years.

He doesn’t need any more money I think. Not when he has Google money.

Well, even being part of Google doesn't mean that you have infinite funds at your disposal. Recently, his startup raised 600 million.

"The drug development artificial intelligence (AI) startup founded by Google DeepMind co-founder and CEO Demis Hassabis has raised $600 million in its first external funding round."

https://www.pymnts.com/artificial-intelligence-2/2025/ai-sta...

I don’t think there’s a lack of VC money in AI… there are a few 1-10$ billion companies without a product.

Still it's the sales pitch that allowed it. This is why I'm sceptical about his AGI views. Is this his genuine opinion or just the hype he's interested in sustaining as an AI startup owner?

He started DeepMind 10 years ago and said they are on track for 20 years up to AGI.

Agreed, I was blown away by some of his achievements, like AlphaGo. Still I'm not very much convinced that AGI is around the corner yet, even if he appears to claim otherwise.

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