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Can’t predict the volcano, but I highly recommend a helicopter trip over Kilauea if you have a chance to go. Even if it is not currently erupting, from the air you can see the cooled lava flow paths and it’s clear the massive volume that occasionally flows out.

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Normally you are correct, though for the current series of eruptions this year they can often be predicted within a a day or two of accuracy by looking at the micro radians pressure. Once it gets past 12.5, Madame Pēlē is going to start the fountain in short order.

We kept the Kilauea YT stream going 24/7 and just waited till it started and then drove over.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=iws3rh5vLAQ

Kilauea has been erupting every week or two since Christmas Eve and fountaining every week or two for two months now.

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