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Maybe that's based on the "Doomsday Clock" (https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/) being as close to "human extinction" as it has ever been? Not sure, but sounds plausible the author is reading into that.

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Anyone using that exercise in melodramatics as their basis for probability of nuclear war deserves to be laughed it and subsequently ignored.

The author is writing about post-nuclear detonation, of course it's an exercise in melodramatics and theories, that's clear from the onset.

Doomsday clock is not an estimate of nuclear risk these days, but includes risks like climate change.

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