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Yeah, so what would the "correct" path to AGI look like? Because it's not like one day you have nothing and the next you have a system capable of understanding and learning any intellectual task. So, what does such a system look like one year before reaching AGI, two years, etc?

OpenAI and Microsoft, OTOH, define it as a system with >100B USD profit. Keep that in mind when you hear Satya or sama talk about "AGI progress".

So it follows that the US $500B investment needs to yield >20% returns to have "achieved AGI". It seems a given regardless of development of what humans would typically think of as "intelligence".

At this point post-2023, "AGI" can mean anything as there is no agreed upon definition.

So what happens if we don't reach it?