Lots of them opened, of them 70% failed, and one who didn’t happened to be named Pete.
No more interesting than “Pete rolled a 4!” even though 83% of people don’t.
I don’t think it’s valid to define “surprising” in such a self-referential way. When something unusual appears in the news, that doesn’t make it common. The probabilities are different before and after applying a filter.
More precisely, it's not surprising that one exists. It may be surprising that this particular one survived, just as it wouldbe surprising that it's my neighbor who wins the lottery next week. But it's likely that somebody will, so if somebody has won, it won't be a surprise that somebody did.
It’s a question of how many other possibilities are considered similar to the one that happened. From a zoomed-out perspective, one win is as good as any another.
> When something unusual appears in the news, that doesn’t make it common.
This in particular isn’t even close to what I said, which was: rare events can be unsurprising in large datasets — as is the case with both dice rolls and restaurants succeeding.
I guess this is just point of view. "Someone won the lottery" and "I won the lottery" describe the same event from very different perspectives.