> Need local stuff? Llama(maybe Gemma)
You probably want to replace Llama with Qwen in there. And Gemma is not even close.
> Mistral has been consistently last place, or at least last place among ChatGPT, Claude, Llama, and Gemini/Gemma.
Mistral held for a long time the position of "workhorse open-weights base model" and nothing precludes them from taking it again with some smart positioning.
They might not currently be leading a category, but as an outside observer I could see them (like Cohere) actively trying to find innovative business models to survive, reach PMF and keep the dream going, and I find that very laudable. I expect them to experiment a lot during this phase, and that probably means not doubling down on any particular niche until they find a strong signal.